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Journal: BMC Public Health
Article Title: Hindsight is 2020 vision: a characterisation of the global response to the COVID-19 pandemic
doi: 10.1186/s12889-020-09972-z
Figure Lengend Snippet: Examples of model fit using parameter point estimates: a – b United States, c – d Germany, e – f Australia, g – h United Kingdom, i – j South Korea, and k – l New Zealand. Vertical bars indicate daily reported cases (yellow) and deaths (red). The 50% (dark shaded region) and 95% credible intervals (light shaded region) of the posterior predictive distributions are plotted against the observational data. Credible intervals are computed using n =100 stochastic simulations for the given point estimate. Full posterior predictive distributions are presented in the
Article Snippet: Instead of modelling specific intervention types and timings for each country explicitly, we adopt a
Techniques: